T\u00fcrkiye Hazine ve Maliye Bakan\u0131 Mehmet \u015eim\u015fek, Sapanca\u2019da d\u00fczenlenen Uluslararas\u0131 Ekonomi Zirvesi\u2019nde yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 konu\u015fmada sava\u015flar\u0131n k\u00fcresel ekonomide kal\u0131c\u0131 etkiler b\u0131rakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin makroekonomik temellerinin g\u00fc\u00e7lendi\u011fini belirten \u015eim\u015fek, “T\u00fcrkiye’nin dayan\u0131kl\u0131 oldu\u011funa inan\u0131yoruz” dedi.
T\u00fcrkiye Hazine ve Maliye Bakan\u0131 Mehmet \u015eim\u015fek, sava\u015flar\u0131n di\u011fer \u015foklara oranla \u00e7ok daha kal\u0131c\u0131 ve b\u00fcy\u00fck sonu\u00e7lar do\u011furdu\u011funu belirterek, “T\u00fcrkiye’nin dayan\u0131kl\u0131 oldu\u011funa inan\u0131yoruz. Bunu da ge\u00e7en sene ispatlad\u0131k, bu sene de ispatlayaca\u011f\u0131z.” dedi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u015eim\u015fek, Sapanca’da d\u00fczenlenen Uluslararas\u0131 Ekonomi Zirvesi’nin (UEZ 2026) a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131nda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 konu\u015fmada, sava\u015f\u0131n “b\u00fcy\u00fck bir \u015fok” oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Ge\u00e7mi\u015fe oranla bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda bug\u00fcn ya\u015fanan sava\u015f\u0131n enerji piyasalar\u0131na etkisinin ger\u00e7ekten b\u00fcy\u00fck oldu\u011funu vurgulayan \u015eim\u015fek, “\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 kritik bir ge\u00e7i\u015f noktas\u0131. Sadece petrol a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan de\u011fil, g\u00fcbre ve do\u011fal gaz a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan da \u00f6yle. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla, bu \u015fokun b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fcn fark\u0131nday\u0131z.” diye konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Ge\u00e7mi\u015fteki benzer sava\u015f veya \u015foklarla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n olduk\u00e7a y\u00fcksek oldu\u011funa i\u015faret eden Bakan \u015eim\u015fek, “K\u0131r\u0131lgan bir ate\u015fkes var. Umar\u0131m bu ate\u015fkes devam eder. Piyasalar \u015fu an itibar\u0131yla bu k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir miktar yans\u0131t\u0131yor. Ate\u015fkes s\u00fcrse dahi maalesef k\u00fcresel ekonomi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan da T\u00fcrkiye a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan da bir miktar tahribat s\u00f6z konusu.” de\u011ferlendirmesinde bulundu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u015eim\u015fek, k\u00fcresel ekonomideki geli\u015fmelere de de\u011finerek, \u015fu ifadeleri kulland\u0131:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
“Sava\u015f\u0131n getirdi\u011fi y\u0131k\u0131m ve bunun rehabilitasyonu biraz zaman alacak. Bug\u00fcnk\u00fc ate\u015fkes devam etse dahi bunun etkileri hissedilecek. Jeopolitik olarak da ne b\u00f6lge ne de d\u00fcnya eskisine d\u00f6nmeyecek. B\u00fcy\u00fck k\u0131r\u0131lmalar\u0131n oldu\u011fu bir d\u00f6nemdeyiz. Ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131 ve getirdi\u011fi par\u00e7alanmalar, demografik d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm, iklim krizi, yapay zeka ve otomasyonun d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr\u00fcc\u00fc ve y\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 etkileri\u2026 Asl\u0131nda bir\u00e7ok boyutla zorlu bir d\u00f6nemden ge\u00e7iliyor.”<\/p>\n\n\n\n
“T\u00dcRK\u0130YE’N\u0130N DAYANIKLI OLDU\u011eUNA \u0130NANIYORUZ”<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n \u0130talyan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcr Antonio Gramsci’nin “Eski d\u00fcnya \u00f6l\u00fcyor, yeni d\u00fcnya do\u011fum sanc\u0131lar\u0131 \u00e7ekiyor, \u015fimdi canavarlar zaman\u0131.” s\u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc an\u0131msatan \u015eim\u015fek, sava\u015flar\u0131n asl\u0131nda canavarlar d\u00f6nemini yans\u0131tt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u015eim\u015fek, sava\u015f\u0131n etkilerine dikkati \u00e7ekerek, \u015funlar\u0131 kaydetti:<\/p>\n\n\n\n “Sava\u015flar di\u011fer \u015foklara oranla \u00e7ok daha kal\u0131c\u0131 ve b\u00fcy\u00fck sonu\u00e7lar do\u011furuyor. T\u00fcrkiye’nin dayan\u0131kl\u0131 oldu\u011funa inan\u0131yoruz. Bunu da ge\u00e7en sene ispatlad\u0131k, bu sene de ispatlayaca\u011f\u0131z. Hat\u0131rlarsan\u0131z 2025’te \u00f6nemli \u015foklarla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kald\u0131k. Ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n piyasalarda yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 hareketlilik ve volatilite. Akabinde ’12 G\u00fcn Sava\u015f\u0131’. \u0130\u00e7eride kurakl\u0131k ve zirai don. B\u00fct\u00fcn bunlar ge\u00e7en sene \u00f6nemli g\u00fcndem maddeleriydi. Ama biz t\u00fcm bu \u015foklar\u0131 programda \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli kay\u0131plar ya\u015famadan atlatt\u0131k. Tabiri caizse program kendisini kan\u0131tlad\u0131, r\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcn\u00fc ispat etti. 2023 ortas\u0131ndan bu yana uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z program asl\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye’nin makroekonomik temellerini sa\u011flamla\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131, dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131 ve bizi \u015foklarla ba\u015f edebilecek duruma getirdi. Peki bu seneki, \u015fu anda i\u00e7inden ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 d\u00f6nemi en az zararla atlatabilecek miyiz? Esas sorun bu. The Economist dergisinin bir grafi\u011fini g\u00f6rd\u00fcm. Burada \u00fclkeleri iki ayr\u0131 kategoride s\u0131n\u0131fland\u0131r\u0131yor. Kimler dayan\u0131kl\u0131, kimler \u015foklara daha \u00e7ok a\u00e7\u0131k, daha \u00e7ok maruz kalabilir. Burada T\u00fcrkiye, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc tamponlara, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck makroekonomik dengesizliklere ve sa\u011flam temellere sahip bir ekonomi olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Ayr\u0131ca, Orta Do\u011fu’daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n \u00f6zellikle enerji ve do\u011fal gaz kanal\u0131 \u00fczerinden T\u00fcrkiye’ye yans\u0131mas\u0131, s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 ba\u011flant\u0131sall\u0131k nedeniyle g\u00f6rece daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kal\u0131yor. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede, The Economist’in de\u011ferlendirmesine g\u00f6re T\u00fcrkiye, mevcut jeopolitik \u015foklara kar\u015f\u0131 daha y\u00fcksek bir dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131k sergileyebilecek \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda yer al\u0131yor” de\u011ferlendirmesinde bulundu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n “MAL\u0130YE POL\u0130T\u0130KASI GE\u00c7M\u0130\u015eE ORANLA BUG\u00dcN DE SA\u011eLAM YAPIDA”<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n T\u00fcrkiye’nin Orta Do\u011fu’ya, \u00f6zellikle H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’n\u0131 kullanan tedarik\u00e7ilere olan enerjide ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n yok denecek kadar az oldu\u011funun alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izen \u015eim\u015fek, do\u011fal gazda \u0130ran’dan bir miktar ithalat\u0131n oldu\u011funu ama onun, boru hatlar\u0131yla oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in \u015fu ana kadar etkilenmedi\u011fini dile getirdi. Petrolde hemen hemen neredeyse ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret eden \u015eim\u015fek, “Bu, \u00f6nemli. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc ate\u015fkes devam etmezse, bu sava\u015f uzarsa bir\u00e7ok \u00fclkede enerji arz g\u00fcvenli\u011fi sorunu ya\u015fanaca\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in, bu sadece do\u011fal gaz ve petrol de\u011fil b\u00fct\u00fcn t\u00fcrevlerini de etkiliyor. T\u00fcrkiye’nin orada bir avantaj\u0131 olur. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc T\u00fcrkiye dedi\u011fim gibi \u00e7ok daha az oranda o b\u00f6lgeye ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131.” dedi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u015eim\u015fek, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na dikkati \u00e7ekerek, \u015fu ifadeleri kulland\u0131:<\/p>\n\n\n\n “Dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n en \u00f6nemli alan\u0131 ve kayna\u011f\u0131 maliye politikas\u0131n\u0131n ge\u00e7mi\u015fe oranla bug\u00fcn de sa\u011flam bir yap\u0131da olmas\u0131. 2023’te b\u00fcy\u00fck bir deprem ya\u015fad\u0131k, EYT gibi di\u011fer birtak\u0131m konular da vard\u0131. Ona ra\u011fmen biz b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 milli gelire oran olarak y\u00fczde 3’\u00fcn alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fck. Bizim b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z ve borcun milli gelire oran\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck. Bu da bize politikada manevra alan\u0131 tan\u0131yor, \u015foklara daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc tepki vermemizi sa\u011fl\u0131yor. Hem kamu borcunun milli gelire oran\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck hem de a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z nispeten d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck. Ge\u00e7en sene geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerde b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n milli gelire oran\u0131 ortalama y\u00fczde 6,3’t\u00fc, yani T\u00fcrkiye’nin iki kat\u0131ndan fazlayd\u0131. Yine bizim makroekonomik \u015foklara olan dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z daha y\u00fcksek. Reel kur, faiz ve b\u00fcy\u00fcmede e\u015f zamanl\u0131 ya\u015fanabilecek \u015foklara kar\u015f\u0131 kamu borcunun milli gelire oran\u0131n\u0131n hassasiyeti, ge\u00e7mi\u015f d\u00f6nemlere k\u0131yasla belirgin \u015fekilde azalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.”<\/p>\n\n\n\n “REZERV YETERL\u0130L\u0130\u011e\u0130 ANLAMINDA OLDUK\u00c7A RAHAT B\u0130R NOKTADAYIZ”<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n \u015eim\u015fek, d\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n kritik bir k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131k alan\u0131 olmaya devam etti\u011fini vurgulayarak, petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011fa do\u011frudan yans\u0131yaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade etti. Sava\u015f\u0131n yaln\u0131zca enerji kanal\u0131yla de\u011fil, ticaret ve turizm \u00fczerinden de ekonomiyi etkileyece\u011fini dile getiren \u015eim\u015fek, T\u00fcrkiye gibi enerji ithalat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 ve b\u00f6lgeye yak\u0131n \u00fclkeler a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan en temel riskin cari dengedeki bozulma oldu\u011funu belirtti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u015eim\u015fek, “A\u00e7\u0131k bir miktar artacak. Ama bizim a\u00e7\u0131ktaki art\u0131\u015fa ra\u011fmen br\u00fct d\u0131\u015f finansman ihtiyac\u0131m\u0131z ge\u00e7mi\u015fin alt\u0131nda olacak. Bu elbette bir k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131k, ancak bunu y\u00f6netilebilir g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.” diye konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n T\u00fcrkiye’nin toplam bor\u00e7lulu\u011funun ge\u00e7mi\u015f \u015foklara oranla d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oldu\u011funu anlatan \u015eim\u015fek, bu nedenle bu \u015foku en az zararla atlatabilece\u011fini ve T\u00fcrkiye’yi yeniden g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc \u015fekilde konumland\u0131rabileceklerini vurgulad\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u015eokun ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131nda \u00f6zellikle uluslararas\u0131 rezervler alan\u0131nda \u00f6nemli tampon in\u015fa ettiklerinin alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izen \u015eim\u015fek, “Bu sava\u015fla birlikte risk i\u015ftah\u0131nda bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti, T\u00fcrkiye’den bir miktar sermaye \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 oldu. Ate\u015fkesle birlikte \u015fimdi geri geliyor. Vatanda\u015flar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n d\u00f6viz talebi, program\u0131m\u0131za olan g\u00fcven sayesinde olduk\u00e7a s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131. \u015eunu rahatl\u0131kla s\u00f6yleyebilirim, rezerv yeterlili\u011fi anlam\u0131nda da biz olduk\u00e7a rahat bir noktaday\u0131z.” de\u011ferlendirmesinde bulundu.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" T\u00fcrkiye Hazine ve Maliye Bakan\u0131 Mehmet \u015eim\u015fek, Sapanca\u2019da d\u00fczenlenen Uluslararas\u0131 Ekonomi Zirvesi\u2019nde yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 konu\u015fmada sava\u015flar\u0131n k\u00fcresel ekonomide kal\u0131c\u0131 etkiler b\u0131rakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin makroekonomik temellerinin g\u00fc\u00e7lendi\u011fini belirten \u015eim\u015fek, “T\u00fcrkiye’nin dayan\u0131kl\u0131 oldu\u011funa inan\u0131yoruz” dedi. T\u00fcrkiye Hazine ve Maliye Bakan\u0131 Mehmet \u015eim\u015fek, sava\u015flar\u0131n di\u011fer \u015foklara oranla \u00e7ok daha kal\u0131c\u0131 ve b\u00fcy\u00fck sonu\u00e7lar do\u011furdu\u011funu belirterek, “T\u00fcrkiye’nin dayan\u0131kl\u0131 oldu\u011funa inan\u0131yoruz. 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